Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 21.00
assuming max odds 9.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 82.74%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 6.01%; Draw: 11.26%. For Sheffield Wednesday (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.65. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.03%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.62%EV +26.13%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.341% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.36%EV +5.37%E +0.574%K +0.643%G +0.035% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +20.12%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.213% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 17:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.60%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 17.95I 5.57%NM 5.31%EV +7.81%E +0.435%K +0.461%G +0.036% | 8.59I 11.64%NM 11.09%EV -3.30%E -0.384%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.83%EV -0.933%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.31%EV -9.82%E -9.01%K -109.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV -0.902%E -0.055%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.87%EV -3.18%E -0.370%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -7.69%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 18:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.15%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.95%EV -13.13%E -12.50%K -262.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.24%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.60%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.22%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.38% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.21% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.50% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.81% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |