La escuela de los momios

Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday

Inicio: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Middlesbrough (Local)

Predicción 82.74%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -13.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.09%82.58%82.70%85.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.131.131.1895.24%88.43%88.50%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante)

Predicción 6.01%16.65momio equitativo
EV +26.13%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.341%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 21.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.62%6.08%6.09%8.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.5015.8416.5021.008.70%6.31%6.06%4.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 11.26%8.88momio equitativo
EV +5.37%
Ventaja +0.574%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.36%11.34%11.21%13.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.228.259.3614.29%12.17%12.12%10.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.03%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.62%EV +26.13%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.341%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.36%EV +5.37%E +0.574%K +0.643%G +0.035%3.2%2026-04-22 18:39
Bet Victor1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +20.12%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.213%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.2%2026-04-22 18:39
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 83.60%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.95I 5.57%NM 5.31%EV +7.81%E +0.435%K +0.461%G +0.036%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.09%EV -3.30%E -0.384%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.83%EV -0.933%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:45
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%7.1%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.31%EV -9.82%E -9.01%K -109.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV -0.902%E -0.055%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.87%EV -3.18%E -0.370%K -0.419%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:39
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:44
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:39
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:04
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -7.69%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:13
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.15%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:16
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 82.95%EV -13.13%E -12.50%K -262.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.24%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:34
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 15:34
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:33
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:04
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:44
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.60%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.22%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.21%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%1.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66%3.2%2026-04-22 18:40