默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Middlesbrough (主队)

预测 82.74%1.21公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -13.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布
80.09%82.58%82.70%85.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.131.131.1895.24%88.43%88.50%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sheffield Wednesday (客队)

预测 6.01%16.65公平赔率
EV +26.13%
优势 +1.24%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.341%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.62%6.08%6.09%8.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.5015.8416.5021.008.70%6.31%6.06%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.26%8.88公平赔率
EV +5.37%
优势 +0.574%
Kelly +0.643%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 9.36

博彩公司预测分布
10.36%11.34%11.21%13.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.228.259.3614.29%12.17%12.12%10.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Middlesbrough (主队):82.74%;Sheffield Wednesday (客队):6.01%;平局:11.26%。 对于“Sheffield Wednesday (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为16.65。 当时有28家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为21.00,对应+26.13%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.03%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.62%EV +26.13%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.341%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.36%EV +5.37%E +0.574%K +0.643%G +0.035%3.2%2026-04-22 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +20.12%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.213%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.2%2026-04-22 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.60%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.95I 5.57%NM 5.31%EV +7.81%E +0.435%K +0.461%G +0.036%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.09%EV -3.30%E -0.384%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.83%EV -0.933%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:45
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%7.1%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.31%EV -9.82%E -9.01%K -109.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV -0.902%E -0.055%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.87%EV -3.18%E -0.370%K -0.419%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:39
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -7.69%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:13
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.15%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 82.95%EV -13.13%E -12.50%K -262.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.24%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:34
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 15:34
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:33
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:04
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:44
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.60%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.22%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.21%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%1.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66%3.2%2026-04-22 18:40