L’École des cotes

Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Score final : Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Middlesbrough (Local)

Prévision 82.74%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -13.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.09%82.58%82.70%85.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.131.131.1895.24%88.43%88.50%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sheffield Wednesday (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.01%16.65cote équitable
EV +26.13%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.341%

avec la cote maximale 21.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.62%6.08%6.09%8.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.5015.8416.5021.008.70%6.31%6.06%4.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 11.26%8.88cote équitable
EV +5.37%
Avantage +0.574%
Kelly +0.643%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 9.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.36%11.34%11.21%13.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.228.259.3614.29%12.17%12.12%10.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.03%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.62%EV +26.13%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.341%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.36%EV +5.37%E +0.574%K +0.643%G +0.035%3.2%2026-04-22 18:39
Bet Victor1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +20.12%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.213%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.2%2026-04-22 18:39
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +14.11%E +0.743%K +0.784%G +0.111%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +8.11%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 83.60%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.95I 5.57%NM 5.31%EV +7.81%E +0.435%K +0.461%G +0.036%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.09%EV -3.30%E -0.384%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.83%EV -0.933%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:40
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:45
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%7.1%2026-04-22 17:43
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.31%EV -9.82%E -9.01%K -109.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +2.10%E +0.124%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV -0.902%E -0.055%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.87%EV -3.18%E -0.370%K -0.419%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:39
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:44
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -3.90%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:39
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:04
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -7.69%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:13
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.15%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:16
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 82.95%EV -13.13%E -12.50%K -262.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.24%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 81.89%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -12.91%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -18.38%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:34
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -21.20%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 15:34
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:33
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.55%K -61.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.92%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.80%EV -12.75%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-22 18:35
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.09%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +1.32%E +0.147%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.57%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:04
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:44
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -4.31%E -0.507%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.60%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.22%EV -9.94%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -4.03%E -3.47%K -25.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -30.93%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.12%E -0.864%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.21%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.50%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%1.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66%3.2%2026-04-22 18:40