Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 4.30
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 52.33%; Norwich City (Visit): 23.58%; Draw: 24.09%. For Norwich City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +1.40%E +0.326%K +0.425%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.35%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -0.955%E -0.227%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.04%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.81%EV -2.37%E -0.572%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.15%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.26%EV -4.96%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 14:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:43 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.29%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.95%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.22%EV -12.56%E -3.46%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -14.18%E -8.65%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-07 15:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |