Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Middlesbrough v Norwich City

Inizio: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Finale: Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Middlesbrough (Casa)

Previsione 52.33%1.91quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.34%52.22%52.37%53.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.791.801.8760.98%55.75%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Norwich City (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.58%4.24quota equa
EV +1.40%
Vantaggio +0.326%
Kelly +0.425%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.20%23.66%23.63%25.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.913.904.3027.78%25.59%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.09%4.15quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -0.911%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.45%24.13%24.00%25.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.833.854.0027.78%26.12%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Middlesbrough (Casa): 52.33%; Norwich City (Trasferta): 23.58%; Pareggio: 24.09%. Per Norwich City (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.24. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +1.40%E +0.326%K +0.425%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.35%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -0.955%E -0.227%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:20
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.04%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.81%EV -2.37%E -0.572%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.15%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:45
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.26%EV -4.96%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:06
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:27
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:22
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:43
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:55
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.29%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 07:44
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.95%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.22%EV -12.56%E -3.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:24
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:44
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 07:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -14.18%E -8.65%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-07 15:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-09 17:30