StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Middlesbrough v Norwich City

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Middlesbrough (Hemma)

Prognos 52.33%1.91rättvist odds
EV -2.15%
Fördel -1.15%
Kelly -2.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.34%52.22%52.37%53.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.641.791.801.8760.98%55.75%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Borta)

Prognos 23.58%4.24rättvist odds
EV +1.40%
Fördel +0.326%
Kelly +0.425%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.20%23.66%23.63%25.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.913.904.3027.78%25.59%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.09%4.15rättvist odds
EV -3.64%
Fördel -0.911%
Kelly -1.21%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.45%24.13%24.00%25.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.833.854.0027.78%26.12%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Middlesbrough (Hemma): 52.33%; Norwich City (Borta): 23.58%; Oavgjort: 24.09%. För Norwich City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.24. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.40%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +1.40%E +0.326%K +0.425%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.35%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -0.955%E -0.227%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:20
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.04%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.81%EV -2.37%E -0.572%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.15%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:45
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.26%EV -4.96%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:06
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:27
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.42%EV -6.77%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:22
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:43
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:55
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.29%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 07:44
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.95%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.22%EV -12.56%E -3.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:24
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:44
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.57%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 07:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.75%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -14.18%E -8.65%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-07 15:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-09 17:30