The School of Odds
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Lincoln City v Portsmouth

2026-08-22 11:30 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln City (Local)

Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%33.25%33.30%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.792.9039.22%36.09%35.91%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portsmouth (Visit)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%39.50%39.54%40.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.382.4246.51%42.60%42.11%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.24%27.16%28.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.41%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lincoln City (Local): 33.26%; Portsmouth (Visit): 39.55%; Draw: 27.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -4.69%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -4.20%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:34
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:39
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.69%EV -6.53%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -4.29%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -5.38%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.69%EV -6.53%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -4.29%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -5.38%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.53%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.48%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:24
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:54
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:19
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:19
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.86%EV -7.86%E -2.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.40%EV -8.64%E -3.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -10.82%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.48%E -0.980%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.60%EV -13.54%E -4.26%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 10:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.24%EV -15.18%E -5.95%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.42%EV -14.97%E -6.96%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.48%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%13.4%2026-08-15 11:35
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 37.70%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.80%1.54I 64.94%NM 35.50%82.9%2026-08-15 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44%176.9%2026-08-15 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.44%176.9%2026-08-15 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 33.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.23%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.23%183.9%2026-08-15 13:05

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