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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Lincoln City v Portsmouth

2026-08-22 11:30 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lincoln City (Local)

Prévision 33.36%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.42%33.66%33.17%37.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.26%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Portsmouth (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.30%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.209%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.135%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.65%39.10%39.36%40.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.5546.51%42.13%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.34%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.605%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%27.24%27.47%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.53%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lincoln City (Local) : 33.36% ; Portsmouth (Visiteur) : 39.30% ; Match nul : 27.34%. Pour Portsmouth (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.54. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.55, pour une espérance positive de +0.209%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV +0.209%E +0.082%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:44
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -5.92%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -2.94%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -6.08%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.86%EV -7.59%E -2.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.40%EV -9.22%E -3.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -10.32%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.60%EV -13.06%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 10:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.24%EV -14.93%E -5.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.42%EV -15.51%E -7.21%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%13.4%2026-08-15 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 31.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.24%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.68%41.1%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 41.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 27.95%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.41%61.2%2026-08-15 14:44

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