Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lincoln City v Portsmouth

2026-08-22 11:30 UTC — Championship

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lincoln City (Local)

Previsão 33.36%3.00odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.42%33.66%33.17%37.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.26%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portsmouth (Visitante)

Previsão 39.30%2.54odd justa
EV +0.209%
Vantagem +0.082%
Kelly +0.135%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.65%39.10%39.36%40.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.372.402.5546.51%42.13%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.34%3.66odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.437%
Kelly -0.605%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.96%27.24%27.47%27.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.53%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lincoln City (Local): 33.36%; Portsmouth (Visitante): 39.30%; Empate: 27.34%. Para Portsmouth (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.54. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.55, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.209%.

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV +0.209%E +0.082%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:44
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -5.92%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -2.94%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -6.08%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.86%EV -7.59%E -2.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.40%EV -9.22%E -3.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -10.32%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.60%EV -13.06%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 10:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.24%EV -14.93%E -5.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.42%EV -15.51%E -7.21%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%13.4%2026-08-15 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.24%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.68%41.1%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 41.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 27.95%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.41%61.2%2026-08-15 14:44

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