La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Lincoln City v Portsmouth

2026-08-22 11:30 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lincoln City (Local)

Predicción 33.36%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.42%33.66%33.17%37.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.26%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portsmouth (Visitante)

Predicción 39.30%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.209%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.135%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.65%39.10%39.36%40.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.402.5546.51%42.13%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.34%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.605%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.24%27.47%27.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.53%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lincoln City (Local): 33.36%; Portsmouth (Visitante): 39.30%; Empate: 27.34%. Para Portsmouth (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.54. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.55, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.209%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV +0.209%E +0.082%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -3.33%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:44
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -5.92%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.437%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -2.94%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.25%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -6.08%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:44
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.86%EV -7.59%E -2.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.40%EV -9.22%E -3.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -10.32%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.60%EV -13.06%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 10:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -9.92%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.24%EV -14.93%E -5.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.42%EV -15.51%E -7.21%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%13.4%2026-08-15 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 31.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.24%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.68%41.1%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 31.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 26.17%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.57%41.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 41.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 27.95%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.41%61.2%2026-08-15 14:44

Comente este partido en odds.forum

Aún no hay comentarios publicados.