收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
假设最高赔率为 3.34
假设最高赔率为 2.30
假设最高赔率为 3.50
按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Derby County (主队):29.72%;Birmingham City (客队):42.25%;平局:28.03%。 对于“Derby County (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.34,期望值为-0.726%,未产生正期望值。
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.63%EV -5.48%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.79%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -5.79%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.64%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 15:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 06:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.06%EV -10.44%E -4.92%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.22%EV -11.42%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -11.43%E -3.83%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -13.40%E -6.54%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.90%EV -15.29%E -5.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.96% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 40.90% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.14% | 17.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |