Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.34
avec la cote maximale 2.30
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Derby County (Local) : 29.72% ; Birmingham City (Visiteur) : 42.25% ; Match nul : 28.03%. Pour Derby County (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.36. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.34, pour une espérance de -0.726% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -1.91%E -0.580%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.35%EV -3.68%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.63%EV -5.48%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.79%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -5.79%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.64%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 15:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 06:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.06%EV -10.44%E -4.92%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.22%EV -11.42%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -11.43%E -3.83%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -13.40%E -6.54%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.90%EV -15.29%E -5.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.96% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 40.90% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.14% | 17.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |