Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City v West Ham United

2026-11-04 19:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City (Local)

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.84%25.66%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.603.603.8531.25%27.82%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Ham United (Visit)

Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.86%52.16%52.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.791.801.8562.11%55.77%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%22.30%22.17%23.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.3026.32%24.37%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cardiff City (Local): 25.82%; West Ham United (Visit): 51.96%; Draw: 22.22%. For Cardiff City (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -0.595%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 05:25
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:34
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.78%EV -5.50%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.36%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 08:45
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 06:05
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.57%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 14:25
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 05:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 01:25
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.25%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 17:10
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-29 22:37
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-29 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-28 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.11%E -5.84%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 25.64%EV -11.70%E -3.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -11.67%E -6.86%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -14.46%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-28 20:20
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 06:10
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 05:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.24%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 52.51%EV -16.34%E -10.15%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -17.38%E -5.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.14%EV -13.74%E -8.28%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-28 20:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.22%7.9%2026-10-30 02:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.95%13.2%2026-10-28 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 22.23%1.39I 71.94%NM 34.87%1.13I 88.50%NM 42.89%106.3%2026-10-29 23:35