StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cardiff City v West Ham United

2026-11-04 19:45 UTC — Championship

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cardiff City (Heim)

Prognose 25.82%3.87faire Quote
EV -0.595%
Vorteil -0.154%
Kelly -0.209%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.87%25.84%25.66%27.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.603.603.8531.25%27.82%27.78%25.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

West Ham United (Auswärts)

Prognose 51.96%1.92faire Quote
EV -3.87%
Vorteil -2.09%
Kelly -4.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.52%51.86%52.16%52.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.611.791.801.8562.11%55.77%55.56%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.22%4.50faire Quote
EV -4.46%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -1.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.82%22.30%22.17%23.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.104.104.3026.32%24.37%24.39%23.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Cardiff City (Heim): 25.82%; West Ham United (Auswärts): 51.96%; Unentschieden: 22.22%. Für Cardiff City (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.87. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.85, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.595%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 05:25
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:34
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.78%EV -5.50%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.36%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 08:45
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 06:05
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.57%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 14:25
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 05:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 01:25
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.25%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 17:10
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-29 22:37
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-29 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-28 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.11%E -5.84%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 25.64%EV -11.70%E -3.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -11.67%E -6.86%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -14.46%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-28 20:20
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 06:10
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 05:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.24%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 52.51%EV -16.34%E -10.15%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -17.38%E -5.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.14%EV -13.74%E -8.28%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-28 20:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.22%7.9%2026-10-30 02:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.95%13.2%2026-10-28 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 22.23%1.39I 71.94%NM 34.87%1.13I 88.50%NM 42.89%106.3%2026-10-29 23:35