Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cardiff City v West Ham United

2026-11-04 19:45 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cardiff City (Local)

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.595%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.209%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.87%25.84%25.66%27.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.603.603.8531.25%27.82%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

West Ham United (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.96%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.52%51.86%52.16%52.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.791.801.8562.11%55.77%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.22%4.50cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%22.30%22.17%23.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.104.104.3026.32%24.37%24.39%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cardiff City (Local) : 25.82% ; West Ham United (Visiteur) : 51.96% ; Match nul : 22.22%. Pour Cardiff City (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.85, pour une espérance de -0.595% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.595%E -0.154%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 05:25
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 20:34
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.78%EV -5.50%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.36%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 08:45
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 06:05
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.57%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 14:25
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 05:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 01:25
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -6.99%E -3.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-28 20:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.25%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 17:10
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-29 22:37
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-29 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.34%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 20:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-28 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.11%E -5.84%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 25.64%EV -11.70%E -3.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -11.67%E -6.86%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -14.46%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-28 20:20
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 06:10
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 05:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.24%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 52.51%EV -16.34%E -10.15%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-28 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -17.38%E -5.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.14%EV -13.74%E -8.28%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-28 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.22%7.9%2026-10-30 02:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.95%13.2%2026-10-28 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 27.80%1.39I 71.94%NM 43.61%2.12I 47.17%NM 28.59%65.0%2026-10-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 22.23%1.39I 71.94%NM 34.87%1.13I 88.50%NM 42.89%106.3%2026-10-29 23:35