The School of Odds

Macará v Alianza Atlético

Matchstart: 2026-05-22 02:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Macará 0–0 Alianza Atlético

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

27 spelbolag (5 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Macará (Hemma)

Prognos 69.65%1.44rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -1.27%
Kelly -4.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.67%69.30%69.55%71.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.281.331.331.4178.13%75.27%75.19%70.92%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alianza Atlético (Borta)

Prognos 9.92%10.08rättvist odds
EV +2.99%
Fördel +0.288%
Kelly +0.319%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.09%9.91%9.96%12.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
7.509.229.5010.3813.33%10.85%10.53%9.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.43%4.90rättvist odds
EV +4.17%
Fördel +0.818%
Kelly +1.02%
Tillväxt +0.042%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.01%20.79%20.49%22.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.564.605.1025.00%21.93%21.74%19.61%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (27 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.29%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV +4.17%E +0.818%K +1.02%G +0.042%3.1%2026-05-22 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 01:50
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 01:49
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 01:49
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 01:50
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.62%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 22:19
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 01:50
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 01:50
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 01:50
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 70.43%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000%10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV +2.99%E +0.288%K +0.319%G +0.010%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.47%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 01:30
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.50%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 01:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 01:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 01:49
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 01:49
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.47%EV -1.79%E -1.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.62%EV -18.74%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -7.06%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 01:50
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.15%E -7.87%K -35.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 01:49
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -7.36%E -5.54%K -22.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-22 01:50
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -25.58%E -3.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-22 01:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -20.62%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 01:20
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -14.21%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 01:09
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.68%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.97%EV -7.72%E -0.830%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -15.23%E -3.67%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 01:50
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 01:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 01:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 01:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.61%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.4%2026-05-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-05-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-05-22 01:50
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.00%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%2.0%2026-05-22 01:50