La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Macará v Alianza Atlético
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Macará (Casa)
Previsione 69.65%1.44quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%69.30%69.55%71.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.331.331.4178.13%75.27%75.19%70.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alianza Atlético (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.92%10.08quota equa
EV +2.99%
Vantaggio +0.288%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.09%9.91%9.96%12.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.229.5010.3813.33%10.85%10.53%9.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 20.43%4.90quota equa
EV +4.17%
Vantaggio +0.818%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescita +0.042%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.01%20.79%20.49%22.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.564.605.1025.00%21.93%21.74%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.29%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV +4.17%E +0.818%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 3.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV +0.086%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.62%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -0.776%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -10.85%E -8.47%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.43%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV +2.99%E +0.288%K +0.319%G +0.010% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.47%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.50%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.47%EV -1.79%E -1.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.62%EV -18.74%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -7.06%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.15%E -7.87%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -7.36%E -5.54%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -10.70%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -25.58%E -3.41%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -20.62%E -2.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-22 01:20 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.74%E -0.604%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -14.21%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 01:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.68%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.97%EV -7.72%E -0.830%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -15.23%E -3.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.66%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.61% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.00% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |