The School of OddsIndependiente Santa Fe v Caracas FC
Head to Head
Option 1: Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Odds
1.4469.44%Min
1.5066.76%Mean
1.5066.67%Median
1.5664.10%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.01%1.666Min
62.78%1.593Max
61.14%1.636Mean
61.14%1.636Median
61.14%1.636IQM
61.11%1.636Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.56 under the IQM model: 61.14%
EV -4.62%Edge -2.96%Kelly -8.25%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Caracas FC (Visit)
Odds
5.7517.39%Min
6.5215.33%Mean
6.5015.38%Median
7.2413.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
13.09%7.637Min
15.66%6.387Max
14.23%7.025Mean
14.23%7.025Median
14.23%7.025IQM
14.20%7.040Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.24 under the IQM model: 14.23%
EV +3.05%Edge +0.422%Kelly +0.489%Growth +0.015%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.7926.35%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.1024.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.68%4.224Min
25.16%3.975Max
24.62%4.061Mean
24.62%4.061Median
24.62%4.061IQM
24.69%4.051Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 24.62%
EV +0.956%Edge +0.233%Kelly +0.309%Growth +0.003%
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Independiente Santa Fe (Local) | Caracas FC (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 62.66%EV -4.62% E -2.96% K -8.25% G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81% NM 13.50%EV +3.05% E +0.422% K +0.489% G +0.015% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.84%EV +0.956% E +0.233% K +0.309% G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 02:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49% NM 62.78%EV -10.73% E -7.35% K -23.33% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.09%EV -0.363% E -0.052% K -0.060% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -6.43% E -1.69% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-03 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.62%EV -8.29% E -5.52% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49% NM 13.40%EV -1.79% E -0.259% K -0.303% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.98%EV -8.89% E -2.40% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 08:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.87%EV -5.23% E -3.37% K -9.51% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.98%EV -3.92% E -0.581% K -0.682% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.16%EV -7.66% E -2.04% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79% NM 61.59%EV -7.06% E -4.65% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.40%EV -7.48% E -1.15% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.01%EV -3.97% E -1.02% K -1.37% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-03 15:12 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.48%EV -11.95% E -8.30% K -27.17% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.84%EV -7.48% E -1.15% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.68%EV -6.43% E -1.69% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-06 00:37 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 61.42%EV -7.67% E -5.08% K -15.05% G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.49%EV -8.90% E -1.39% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.09%EV -5.20% E -1.35% K -1.82% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-04 06:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.29%EV -8.29% E -5.52% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13% NM 14.83%EV -11.75% E -1.90% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.88%EV -5.20% E -1.35% K -1.82% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 60.55%EV -11.95% E -8.30% K -27.17% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.53%EV -14.60% E -2.43% K -2.92% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.91%EV -13.82% E -3.95% K -5.53% G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-03 15:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.01%EV -8.29% E -5.52% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 15.66%EV -18.16% E -3.16% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.33%EV -8.89% E -2.40% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-03 15:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth