L’École des cotesIndependiente Santa Fe v Caracas FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 68.21%1.47cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -7.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.90%68.21%68.15%70.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4276.92%73.97%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Caracas FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.03%9.97cote équitable
EV +10.33%
Avantage +0.939%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.107%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.80%9.91%10.14%11.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.439.3511.0013.33%10.60%10.70%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.76%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.101%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.028%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.00%21.88%21.71%22.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.264.254.6025.00%23.49%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.15%EV -5.87%E -4.25%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.80%EV +10.33%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.107% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +0.101%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.88%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.86%EV +6.82%E +0.640%K +0.707%G +0.048% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -7.73%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.89%EV -5.87%E -4.25%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.36%EV -7.92%E -5.87%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.36%EV -7.92%E -5.87%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.36%EV -7.92%E -5.87%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.36%EV -7.92%E -5.87%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -11.33%E -8.71%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -11.33%E -8.71%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -11.33%E -8.71%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -11.33%E -8.71%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV +0.299%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.28%E -6.98%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.72%E -0.496%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -9.28%E -6.98%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.72%E -0.496%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.95%EV -4.51%E -3.22%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.18%EV -6.22%E -0.665%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.34%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.68%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.97%EV -6.72%E -0.723%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -9.69%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.87%E -4.25%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -2.08%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -5.34%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.24%E -5.32%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.24%E -5.32%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.24%E -5.32%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.24%E -5.32%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -11.33%E -8.71%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -9.73%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.63%EV -5.87%E -4.25%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -12.24%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -3.14%E -2.21%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.10%EV -13.94%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.80%EV -4.90%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -9.28%E -6.98%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -14.75%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.90%EV -7.92%E -5.87%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -24.78%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.33% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.33% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.33% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.33% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |