預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Club Cienciano v Lanus

開賽時間: 2026-07-30 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Club Cienciano 4–0 Lanus

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Club Cienciano (主隊)

預測 39.22%2.55公平賠率
EV +0.022%
優勢 +0.009%
Kelly +0.014%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.55

博彩公司預測分布
37.22%39.21%39.28%42.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.162.322.312.5546.30%43.18%43.29%39.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lanus (客隊)

預測 30.79%3.25公平賠率
EV +1.60%
優勢 +0.484%
Kelly +0.695%
成長率 +0.011%

假設最高賠率為 3.30

博彩公司預測分布
28.92%30.80%30.73%32.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.803.063.043.3035.71%32.70%32.95%30.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.99%3.33公平賠率
EV +0.461%
優勢 +0.138%
Kelly +0.196%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 3.35

博彩公司預測分布
28.66%30.00%29.99%30.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.123.153.3534.48%32.05%31.75%29.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Club Cienciano (主隊):39.22%;Lanus (客隊):30.79%;和局:29.99%。 對於「Lanus (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.25的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.30,對應+1.60%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV +1.60%E +0.484%K +0.695%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV +0.461%E +0.138%K +0.196%G +0.001%4.0%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 00:25
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.00%E -3.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:24
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.56%EV -7.02%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 00:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 00:20
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-30 00:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.26%E -4.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-30 00:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-30 00:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-07-30 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-07-30 00:25