Lingua:Italiano
Club Cienciano v Lanus
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Club Cienciano (Casa)
Previsione 39.22%2.55quota equa
EV +0.022%
Vantaggio +0.009%
Kelly +0.014%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.22%39.21%39.28%42.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.322.312.5546.30%43.18%43.29%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lanus (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.79%3.25quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.484%
Kelly +0.695%
Crescita +0.011%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.92%30.80%30.73%32.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.063.043.3035.71%32.70%32.95%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 29.99%3.33quota equa
EV +0.461%
Vantaggio +0.138%
Kelly +0.196%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.66%30.00%29.99%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.153.3534.48%32.05%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Club Cienciano (Casa): 39.22%; Lanus (Trasferta): 30.79%; Pareggio: 29.99%. Per Lanus (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.25. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.60%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV +1.60%E +0.484%K +0.695%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV +0.461%E +0.138%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.00%E -3.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.56%EV -7.02%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.26%E -4.30%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |