L’École des cotes

Club Cienciano v Lanus

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Cienciano (Local)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%45.81%45.79%46.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.022.1352.63%49.78%49.50%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lanus (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.90%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.891%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.324%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.90%26.96%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.483.7532.26%28.73%28.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.30%27.25%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.363.353.5330.77%29.73%29.85%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.35%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV +0.891%E +0.238%K +0.324%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 13:49
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.96%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.31%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.73%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 10:29
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.454%E -0.123%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.454%E -0.123%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:49
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.454%E -0.123%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.454%E -0.123%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:49
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -6.45%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 04:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 22:05
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:49
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 13:49
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 11:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:50
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 00:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 11:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 11:50
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 11:50
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 16:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.53%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:34
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.99%EV -7.82%E -3.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 00:34
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -12.87%E -6.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 11:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -16.60%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%13.9%2026-07-24 11:25