语言:简体中文
Club Cienciano v Lanus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Club Cienciano (主队)
预测 39.22%2.55公平赔率
EV +0.022%
优势 +0.009%
Kelly +0.014%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.22%39.21%39.28%42.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.162.322.312.5546.30%43.18%43.29%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lanus (客队)
预测 30.79%3.25公平赔率
EV +1.60%
优势 +0.484%
Kelly +0.695%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.92%30.80%30.73%32.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.063.043.3035.71%32.70%32.95%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.99%3.33公平赔率
EV +0.461%
优势 +0.138%
Kelly +0.196%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.66%30.00%29.99%30.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.123.153.3534.48%32.05%31.75%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Cienciano (主队)：39.22%；Lanus (客队)：30.79%；平局：29.99%。 对于“Lanus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.25。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+1.60%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV +1.60%E +0.484%K +0.695%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV +0.461%E +0.138%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +0.058%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.959%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.00%E -3.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.56%EV -7.02%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.33%E -3.94%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.26%E -4.30%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |