The School of OddsClub Bolívar v Grêmio
Head to Head
Option 1: Club Bolívar (Local)
Odds
1.5564.52%Min
1.6461.16%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7058.82%Max
Consensus probabilities
55.41%1.805Min
57.59%1.736Max
56.35%1.775Mean
56.35%1.775Median
56.35%1.775IQM
56.35%1.775Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 56.35%
EV -4.21%Edge -2.48%Kelly -6.02%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Grêmio (Visit)
Odds
3.9025.64%Min
4.3123.21%Mean
4.2523.53%Median
4.8120.79%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.01%4.997Min
22.30%4.485Max
21.38%4.677Mean
21.38%4.677Median
21.38%4.677IQM
21.36%4.681Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.81 under the IQM model: 21.38%
EV +2.85%Edge +0.593%Kelly +0.749%Growth +0.021%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.1424.18%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.4422.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.77%4.593Min
23.36%4.282Max
22.27%4.490Mean
22.27%4.490Median
22.27%4.490IQM
22.29%4.487Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.44 under the IQM model: 22.27%
EV -1.12%Edge -0.252%Kelly -0.325%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Club Bolívar (Local) | Grêmio (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82% NM 57.59%EV -4.21% E -2.48% K -6.02% G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79% NM 20.36%EV +2.85% E +0.593% K +0.749% G +0.021% | 4.44I 22.52% NM 22.05%EV -1.12% E -0.252% K -0.325% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 08:10 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73% NM 57.54%EV -8.72% E -5.38% K -14.06% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.26%EV -1.64% E -0.356% K -0.455% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.19%EV -6.46% E -1.54% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 08:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.54%EV -9.85% E -6.15% K -16.41% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.01%EV -1.64% E -0.356% K -0.455% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -8.69% E -2.12% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -11.54% E -7.35% K -20.24% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -3.78% E -0.839% K -1.08% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -10.92% E -2.73% K -3.64% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.40%EV -5.90% E -3.53% K -8.81% G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47% NM 21.17%EV -4.84% E -1.09% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.43%EV -6.46% E -1.54% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.91%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47% NM 20.73%EV -4.84% E -1.09% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.36%EV -12.03% E -3.05% K -4.08% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61% NM 56.29%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.60%EV -8.05% E -1.87% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.11%EV -6.46% E -1.54% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-10 11:39 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.14%EV -6.47% E -3.89% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -9.12% E -2.15% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -5.35% E -1.26% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.14%EV -6.47% E -3.89% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -9.12% E -2.15% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -5.35% E -1.26% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 20:29 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.14%EV -6.47% E -3.89% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -9.12% E -2.15% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -5.35% E -1.26% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 20:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.14%EV -6.47% E -3.89% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -9.12% E -2.15% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -5.35% E -1.26% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 20:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.14%EV -6.47% E -3.89% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -9.12% E -2.15% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.93%EV -5.35% E -1.26% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73% NM 56.45%EV -8.72% E -5.38% K -14.06% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.77%EV -10.19% E -2.43% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.77%EV -6.46% E -1.54% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 56.10%EV -12.66% E -8.17% K -23.02% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.71%EV -10.19% E -2.43% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.19%EV -16.49% E -4.40% K -5.99% G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.41%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -12.33% E -3.01% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -8.69% E -2.12% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.41%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -12.33% E -3.01% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -8.69% E -2.12% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.41%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -12.33% E -3.01% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.30%EV -8.69% E -2.12% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 55.55%EV -12.66% E -8.17% K -23.02% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.08%EV -16.61% E -4.26% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.37%EV -14.26% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-10 11:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Club Bolívar (Local) | Grêmio (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69% | 3.85I 25.97% | 3.80I 26.32% | 16.0% | 2026-06-10 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-09 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-09 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-09 20:10 |