La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Club Bolívar v Grêmio
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Club Bolívar (Casa)
Previsione 59.19%1.69quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -2.54%
Kelly -6.64%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.90%59.12%59.22%61.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.67%64.52%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.18%5.82quota equa
EV +1.36%
Vantaggio +0.231%
Kelly +0.278%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.69%17.21%17.15%18.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.375.505.9020.83%18.61%18.18%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.63%4.23quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.492%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.22%23.67%23.63%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.774.004.004.3026.53%25.00%25.00%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV +1.62%E +0.378%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.65%EV -12.55%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.54%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -1.22%E -0.211%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -10.04%E -6.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.278%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.90%EV -11.81%E -7.93%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.38%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.61%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.51%EV -2.42%E -0.426%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.88%EV -10.90%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |