L’École des cotesClub Bolívar v Grêmio
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Club Bolívar (Local)
Prévision 59.19%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.12%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -6.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.90%59.12%59.22%61.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.67%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.18%5.82cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.231%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.69%17.21%17.15%18.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.375.505.9020.83%18.61%18.18%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.63%4.23cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.492%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.67%23.63%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.774.004.004.3026.53%25.00%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV +1.62%E +0.378%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.65%EV -12.55%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.54%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -1.22%E -0.211%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -10.04%E -6.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.278%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.90%EV -11.81%E -7.93%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.38%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.61%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.51%EV -2.42%E -0.426%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.88%EV -10.90%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |