语言:简体中文
Club Bolívar v Grêmio
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Club Bolívar (主队)
预测 59.19%1.69公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -2.54%
Kelly -6.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
57.90%59.12%59.22%61.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.67%64.52%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
Grêmio (客队)
预测 17.18%5.82公平赔率
EV +1.36%
优势 +0.231%
Kelly +0.278%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 5.90
博彩公司预测分布
15.69%17.21%17.15%18.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.375.505.9020.83%18.61%18.18%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.63%4.23公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.378%
Kelly +0.492%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
22.22%23.67%23.63%24.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.774.004.004.3026.53%25.00%25.00%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Bolívar (主队)：59.19%；Grêmio (客队)：17.18%；平局：23.63%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.23。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.30，对应+1.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV +1.62%E +0.378%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.65%EV -12.55%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV -1.45%E -0.347%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.356%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.79%E -0.677%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -3.10%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.66%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.54%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -1.22%E -0.211%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -10.04%E -6.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.278%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.90%EV -11.81%E -7.93%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.38%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.61%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.51%EV -2.42%E -0.426%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.88%EV -10.90%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |