預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Caracas FC v Independiente Santa Fe

開賽時間: 2026-07-31 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Caracas FC 0–3 Independiente Santa Fe

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Caracas FC (主隊)

預測 30.64%3.26公平賠率
EV +1.11%
優勢 +0.337%
Kelly +0.483%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 3.30

博彩公司預測分布
28.89%30.63%30.72%31.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.873.093.093.3034.84%32.37%32.36%30.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente Santa Fe (客隊)

預測 39.70%2.52公平賠率
EV -4.72%
優勢 -1.96%
Kelly -3.37%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.40

博彩公司預測分布
38.54%39.83%39.53%41.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.182.282.302.4045.87%43.78%43.48%41.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.66%3.37公平賠率
EV -0.645%
優勢 -0.193%
Kelly -0.275%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.35

博彩公司預測分布
28.46%29.54%29.75%30.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.133.133.3534.48%31.98%32.00%29.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Caracas FC (主隊):30.64%;Independiente Santa Fe (客隊):39.70%;和局:29.66%。 對於「Caracas FC (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.26的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.30,對應+1.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +1.11%E +0.337%K +0.483%G +0.005%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -2.13%E -0.645%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 00:24
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:49
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:49
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.95%EV -2.87%E -0.906%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.12%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:24
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 23:49
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:24
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Coolbet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.63%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -0.645%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 21:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.53%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 00:25
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 00:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:19
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-31 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.69%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 00:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 00:24
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-31 00:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-31 00:25