A Escola das Odds

Caracas FC v Independiente Santa Fe

2026-07-31 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Frente a frente

26 casas de apostas (5 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Caracas FC (Local)

Previsão 32.06%3.12odd justa
EV -0.599%
Vantagem -0.193%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.48%32.13%32.09%34.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.822.803.1038.02%35.51%35.71%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Santa Fe (Visitante)

Previsão 39.47%2.53odd justa
EV +4.60%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +2.79%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.26%39.42%39.47%39.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.432.382.6544.44%41.21%42.02%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.46%3.51odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.778%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.68%28.45%28.44%29.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.203.4233.33%31.10%31.25%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (26 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +4.60%E +1.74%K +2.79%G +0.129%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 00:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:15
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%EV -0.599%E -0.193%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.80%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.62%EV -2.66%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 22:58
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 13:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 31.48%EV -4.45%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.60%EV -6.65%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 02:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:38
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 03:19
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 00:33
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 06:00
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.52%EV -7.63%E -3.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 03:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -6.37%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 22:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -14.61%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-25 05:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%8.6%2026-07-25 21:20
Arbitragem (6 combinações) +0.77%1xBet 3.10 (32.5%) / ATG (SE) 2.65 (38.0%) / 1xBet 3.42 (29.5%)Mostrar as 6 combinações
Caracas FC (Local)Independiente Santa Fe (Visitante)EmpateMargem
1xBet 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet 3.42 (29.5%)+0.772%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)Coolbet 3.35 (29.9%)+0.156%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (NL) 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Casumo 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%