语言:简体中文
Caracas FC v Independiente Santa Fe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Caracas FC (主队)
预测 30.64%3.26公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.337%
Kelly +0.483%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.89%30.63%30.72%31.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.873.093.093.3034.84%32.37%32.36%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente Santa Fe (客队)
预测 39.70%2.52公平赔率
EV -4.72%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -3.37%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
38.54%39.83%39.53%41.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.282.302.4045.87%43.78%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.66%3.37公平赔率
EV -0.645%
优势 -0.193%
Kelly -0.275%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.46%29.54%29.75%30.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.133.133.3534.48%31.98%32.00%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Caracas FC (主队)：30.64%；Independiente Santa Fe (客队)：39.70%；平局：29.66%。 对于“Caracas FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.26。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+1.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +1.11%E +0.337%K +0.483%G +0.005% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -2.13%E -0.645%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.420%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.95%EV -2.87%E -0.906%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.12%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -13.45%E -6.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.63%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -0.645%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.53%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.69%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |