L’École des cotes

Caracas FC v Independiente Santa Fe

2026-07-31 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Caracas FC (Local)

Prévision 32.06%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.599%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.285%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.48%32.13%32.09%34.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.822.803.1038.02%35.51%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Santa Fe (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.47%2.53cote équitable
EV +4.60%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.79%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.26%39.42%39.47%39.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.382.6544.44%41.21%42.02%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.46%3.51cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.778%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.45%28.44%29.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.4233.33%31.10%31.25%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +4.60%E +1.74%K +2.79%G +0.129%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 00:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV +2.63%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:15
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -1.32%E -0.527%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 00:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%EV -0.599%E -0.193%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.80%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.62%EV -2.66%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 22:58
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 13:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 31.48%EV -4.45%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.60%EV -6.65%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 02:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:38
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 03:19
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 00:33
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 06:00
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.52%EV -7.63%E -3.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 03:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -6.37%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 22:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -14.61%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-25 05:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%6.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%8.6%2026-07-25 21:20
Arbitrage (6 combinaisons) +0.77%1xBet 3.10 (32.5%) / ATG (SE) 2.65 (38.0%) / 1xBet 3.42 (29.5%)Afficher les 6 combinaisons
Caracas FC (Local)Independiente Santa Fe (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet 3.42 (29.5%)+0.772%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)Coolbet 3.35 (29.9%)+0.156%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (NL) 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Casumo 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%
1xBet 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel 2.60 (38.5%)1xBet 3.42 (29.3%)+0.041%