預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bragantino-SP v Sporting Cristal

開賽時間: 2026-07-30 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Bragantino-SP 1–0 Sporting Cristal

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bragantino-SP (主隊)

預測 73.20%1.37公平賠率
EV -3.37%
優勢 -2.55%
Kelly -10.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.32

博彩公司預測分布
71.58%73.16%73.35%74.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.56%78.13%75.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sporting Cristal (客隊)

預測 9.58%10.43公平賠率
EV +6.09%
優勢 +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
成長率 +0.037%

假設最高賠率為 11.07

博彩公司預測分布
8.43%9.50%9.57%11.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
8.009.589.5011.0712.50%10.44%10.53%9.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 17.21%5.81公平賠率
EV -3.26%
優勢 -0.581%
Kelly -0.707%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.62

博彩公司預測分布
16.56%17.34%17.09%19.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.705.315.405.6221.28%18.84%18.52%17.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Bragantino-SP (主隊):73.20%;Sporting Cristal (客隊):9.58%;和局:17.21%。 對於「Sporting Cristal (客隊)」,該估計相當於10.43的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為11.07,對應+6.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.59%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.56%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.86%EV -3.26%E -0.581%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.85%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +5.42%E +0.492%K +0.542%G +0.029%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -19.10%E -4.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +0.626%E +0.060%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.11%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 23:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 00:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 00:20
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.59I 10.43%NM 9.89%EV -8.10%E -0.844%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV -4.81%E -0.870%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:19
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 23:55
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.23%E -7.44%K -38.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 00:15
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.17%EV -10.40%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -7.91%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.16%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -11.35%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.17%EV -11.83%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-30 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -15.67%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-30 00:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-30 00:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -23.33%E -2.92%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-30 00:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-07-30 00:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.91%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-07-30 00:15