L’École des cotes

Bragantino-SP v Sporting Cristal

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prévision 68.75%1.45cote équitable
EV -5.12%
Avantage -3.71%
Kelly -13.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.66%68.83%68.68%71.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.331.331.3876.92%74.95%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sporting Cristal (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.25%8.17cote équitable
EV +8.37%
Avantage +0.946%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 8.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.05%12.18%12.24%13.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.787.748.8515.38%12.86%12.93%11.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.00%5.26cote équitable
EV +5.65%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.59%18.99%19.08%20.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.864.805.5623.09%20.57%20.83%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 71.37%EV -5.81%E -4.24%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 11.05%EV +8.37%E +0.946%K +1.07%G +0.089%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.59%EV +5.65%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.070%2.3%2026-07-24 10:29
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.79%EV -5.12%E -3.71%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +4.08%E +0.480%K +0.544%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV -3.09%E -0.606%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +4.08%E +0.480%K +0.544%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +4.08%E +0.480%K +0.544%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +4.08%E +0.480%K +0.544%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +4.08%E +0.480%K +0.544%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -5.12%E -3.71%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +1.02%E +0.124%K +0.141%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -6.89%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 14:04
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -9.93%E -7.58%K -32.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -6.89%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 15:44
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -2.04%E -0.255%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:34
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -5.81%E -4.24%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -3.26%E -0.413%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -15.44%E -3.47%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 11:00
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 69.33%EV -7.87%E -5.87%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.27%EV -7.31%E -0.965%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.40%EV -4.04%E -0.801%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 00:50
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -7.87%E -5.87%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -1.19%E -0.229%K -0.284%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 15:15
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.50%E -4.78%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.89%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 10:05
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 15:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 15:45
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.99%E -0.999%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:14
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:15
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:14
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.32%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.46%EV -9.39%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.42%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.89%EV -16.73%E -2.46%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -15.44%E -3.47%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 15:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.56%E -6.43%K -25.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.41%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.59%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 18:35
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.62%E -8.17%K -35.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -20.41%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -17.72%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 66.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%14.2%2026-07-24 15:15