La scuola delle quote

Bragantino-SP v Sporting Cristal

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

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28 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Casa)

Previsione 68.88%1.45quota equa
EV -4.95%
Vantaggio -3.59%
Kelly -13.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.66%69.03%68.71%71.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.331.331.3876.92%75.03%75.19%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sporting Cristal (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.09%8.27quota equa
EV +8.16%
Vantaggio +0.912%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.92%12.05%12.21%13.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.838.008.9515.38%12.78%12.50%11.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.04%5.25quota equa
EV +8.31%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescita +0.147%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.18%18.92%19.08%20.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.864.805.6923.09%20.59%20.83%17.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.89%EV -6.32%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.92%EV +8.16%E +0.912%K +1.03%G +0.084%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.18%EV +8.31%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.147%2.3%2026-07-26 03:20
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.34%E -0.818%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:16
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -9.08%E -6.88%K -28.38%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.53%EV -2.47%E -0.306%K -0.350%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 17.97%EV -1.39%E -0.269%K -0.333%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 03:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.79%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +2.72%E +0.321%K +0.363%G +0.010%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +2.72%E +0.321%K +0.363%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +2.72%E +0.321%K +0.363%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +2.72%E +0.321%K +0.363%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +2.72%E +0.321%K +0.363%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:15
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:40
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV -0.296%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 14:04
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.32%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 10:05
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -9.77%E -7.46%K -31.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 15:44
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.32%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.46%EV -10.57%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 15:15
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:14
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:15
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:14
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.01%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 15:05
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:34
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.43%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.45%E -3.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.43%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 18:35
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -5.64%E -4.11%K -15.23%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -4.53%E -0.573%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -15.29%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 07:00
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.42%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.89%EV -17.82%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -15.29%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 15:15
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.46%E -8.04%K -34.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -21.45%E -3.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -17.57%E -4.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 15:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 66.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%14.2%2026-07-24 15:15