Lingua:Italiano
Bragantino-SP v Sporting Cristal
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Bragantino-SP (Casa)
Previsione 73.20%1.37quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -2.55%
Kelly -10.53%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.58%73.16%73.35%74.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.56%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Sporting Cristal (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.58%10.43quota equa
EV +6.09%
Vantaggio +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescita +0.037%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.43%9.50%9.57%11.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.589.5011.0712.50%10.44%10.53%9.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 17.21%5.81quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -0.581%
Kelly -0.707%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.56%17.34%17.09%19.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.315.405.6221.28%18.84%18.52%17.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Bragantino-SP (Casa): 73.20%; Sporting Cristal (Trasferta): 9.58%; Pareggio: 17.21%. Per Sporting Cristal (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.43. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.07, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.09%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.59%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.56%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.86%EV -3.26%E -0.581%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.85%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +5.42%E +0.492%K +0.542%G +0.029% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -19.10%E -4.06%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +0.626%E +0.060%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.11%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.89%EV -8.10%E -0.844%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV -4.81%E -0.870%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.23%E -7.44%K -38.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.17%EV -10.40%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -7.91%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.16%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -11.35%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.17%EV -11.83%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -15.67%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -23.33%E -2.92%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.91% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |