语言:简体中文
Bragantino-SP v Sporting Cristal
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bragantino-SP (主队)
预测 73.20%1.37公平赔率
EV -3.37%
优势 -2.55%
Kelly -10.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.32
博彩公司预测分布
71.58%73.16%73.35%74.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.56%78.13%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sporting Cristal (客队)
预测 9.58%10.43公平赔率
EV +6.09%
优势 +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
增长率 +0.037%
假设最高赔率为 11.07
博彩公司预测分布
8.43%9.50%9.57%11.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.589.5011.0712.50%10.44%10.53%9.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 17.21%5.81公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -0.581%
Kelly -0.707%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.62
博彩公司预测分布
16.56%17.34%17.09%19.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.315.405.6221.28%18.84%18.52%17.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bragantino-SP (主队)：73.20%；Sporting Cristal (客队)：9.58%；平局：17.21%。 对于“Sporting Cristal (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.43。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.07，对应+6.09%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.59%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.56%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.86%EV -3.26%E -0.581%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.85%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +5.42%E +0.492%K +0.542%G +0.029% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -19.10%E -4.06%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +0.626%E +0.060%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.11%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.89%EV -8.10%E -0.844%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV -4.81%E -0.870%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.33%E -0.969%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.23%E -7.44%K -38.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.17%EV -10.40%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -7.91%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.16%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -11.35%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.17%EV -11.83%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -3.61%E -0.644%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.60%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -15.67%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -7.05%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -23.33%E -2.92%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -9.63%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.91% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |