Language:English
UCV FC v Independiente del Valle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UCV FC (Local)
Prediction 18.85%5.31fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.664%
Kelly +0.811%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.75%18.89%20.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.834.805.5022.73%20.69%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Visit)
Prediction 56.09%1.78fair odd
EV -0.715%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.86%56.20%56.09%57.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7763.69%60.03%60.06%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.86%25.05%25.03%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.703.703.9730.77%27.03%27.03%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCV FC (Local): 18.85%; Independiente del Valle (Visit): 56.09%; Draw: 25.06%. For UCV FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.39%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -0.509%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.24%EV -3.27%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -8.57%E -5.26%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.08%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.55%E -5.71%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |