La scuola delle quote

UCV FC v Independiente del Valle

Inizio: 2026-05-06 00:00 UTC

Finale: UCV FC 2–0 Independiente del Valle

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

UCV FC (Casa)

Previsione 18.85%5.31quota equa
EV +3.65%
Vantaggio +0.664%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.36%18.75%18.89%20.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.834.805.5022.73%20.69%20.83%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente del Valle (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.09%1.78quota equa
EV -0.715%
Vantaggio -0.404%
Kelly -0.928%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.86%56.20%56.09%57.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.671.671.7763.69%60.03%60.06%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.06%3.99quota equa
EV -0.509%
Vantaggio -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.86%25.05%25.03%26.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.703.703.9730.77%27.03%27.03%25.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:33
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:35
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 21:35
BetUS5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Pinnacle5.15I 19.42%NM 18.39%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -0.509%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:34
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:15
Suprabets5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.24%EV -3.27%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:14
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:30
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 21:30
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -8.57%E -5.26%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:30
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 21:30
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 21:30
GTbets4.92I 20.33%NM 19.08%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 21:14
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:26
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-05 21:30
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 21:30
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:15
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:15
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:15
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 21:15
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 21:15
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.55%E -5.71%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 21:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%3.7%2026-05-05 21:30