L’École des cotesLangue:Français
UCV FC v Independiente del Valle
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
UCV FC (Local)
Prévision 18.85%5.31cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.36%18.75%18.89%20.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.834.805.5022.73%20.69%20.83%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente del Valle (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.09%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.715%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.928%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.86%56.20%56.09%57.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.7763.69%60.03%60.06%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -0.509%
Avantage -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.86%25.05%25.03%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.703.703.9730.77%27.03%27.03%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| BetUS | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.39%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -0.509%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Suprabets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.24%EV -3.27%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -8.57%E -5.26%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| GTbets | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.08%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:26 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.55%E -5.71%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |