La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
UCV FC v Independiente del Valle
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
UCV FC (Local)
Predicción 18.85%5.31momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +0.664%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.36%18.75%18.89%20.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.834.805.5022.73%20.69%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente del Valle (Visitante)
Predicción 56.09%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.715%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.928%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.86%56.20%56.09%57.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7763.69%60.03%60.06%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.06%3.99momio equitativo
EV -0.509%
Ventaja -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.86%25.05%25.03%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.703.703.9730.77%27.03%27.03%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| BetUS | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.39%EV -2.94%E -0.572%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -0.509%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.52%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Suprabets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -8.01%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.24%EV -3.27%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -8.57%E -5.26%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| GTbets | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.08%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:26 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.04%EV -0.715%E -0.404%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.01%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.42%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -6.88%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.55%E -5.71%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |