Language:English
Rosario Central v Libertad Asuncion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 68.38%1.46fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -10.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.79%68.45%68.39%73.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.341.351.4080.65%74.65%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Libertad Asuncion (Visit)
Prediction 11.53%8.68fair odd
EV +38.31%
Edge +3.19%
Kelly +3.48%
Growth +1.33%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.09%11.42%11.47%13.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.758.1512.0015.38%11.43%12.27%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.10%4.98fair odd
EV +6.51%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.32%20.12%20.14%22.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.674.705.3026.67%21.43%21.28%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 68.38%; Libertad Asuncion (Visit): 11.53%; Draw: 20.10%. For Libertad Asuncion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.68. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +38.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.56%EV -13.16%E -10.36%K -48.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.22%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.06%EV +0.278%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.72%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.18%E -0.379%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.93%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.08%EV -8.71%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.40%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%EV -24.64%E -6.57%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.49%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -14.13%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.92%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -16.43%E -2.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -17.01%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.45%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -21.62%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -22.20%E -3.29%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.25%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -25.08%E -3.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |