La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rosario Central v Libertad Asuncion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 68.38%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -3.05%
Kelly -10.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.79%68.45%68.39%73.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.341.351.4080.65%74.65%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Libertad Asuncion (Visitante)
Predicción 11.53%8.68momio equitativo
EV +38.31%
Ventaja +3.19%
Kelly +3.48%
Crecimiento +1.33%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.09%11.42%11.47%13.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.758.1512.0015.38%11.43%12.27%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.10%4.98momio equitativo
EV +6.51%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.32%20.12%20.14%22.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.674.705.3026.67%21.43%21.28%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.56%EV -13.16%E -10.36%K -48.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.22%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.06%EV +0.278%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.72%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.18%E -0.379%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.93%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.08%EV -8.71%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.40%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%EV -24.64%E -6.57%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.49%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -14.13%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.92%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -16.43%E -2.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -17.01%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.45%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -21.62%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -22.20%E -3.29%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.25%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -25.08%E -3.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |