A Escola das Odds

Rosario Central v Libertad Asuncion

Início: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Final: Rosario Central 1–0 Libertad Asuncion

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Previsão 68.38%1.46odd justa
EV -4.27%
Vantagem -3.05%
Kelly -10.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.79%68.45%68.39%73.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.341.351.4080.65%74.65%74.07%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Libertad Asuncion (Visitante)

Previsão 11.53%8.68odd justa
EV +38.31%
Vantagem +3.19%
Kelly +3.48%
Crescimento +1.33%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.09%11.42%11.47%13.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.508.758.1512.0015.38%11.43%12.27%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.10%4.98odd justa
EV +6.51%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.099%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.32%20.12%20.14%22.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.674.705.3026.67%21.43%21.28%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099%3.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099%3.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%6.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%6.4%2026-05-05 21:30
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%6.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%6.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%6.4%2026-05-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.56%EV -13.16%E -10.36%K -48.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%7.0%2026-05-05 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 21:30
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:29
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:30
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.22%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.06%EV +0.278%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.72%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 21:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 21:35
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 21:29
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.18%E -0.379%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 21:30
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 68.93%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:35
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:34
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:35
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 21:35
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 21:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 21:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.08%EV -8.71%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.40%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%EV -24.64%E -6.57%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-05 21:35
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.49%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -14.13%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.92%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -16.43%E -2.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 21:33
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -17.01%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.45%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -21.62%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -22.20%E -3.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.25%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -25.08%E -3.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-05 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-05-05 21:35