L’École des cotesFrançais
Rosario Central v Libertad Asuncion
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rosario Central (Local)
Prévision 68.38%1.46cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -3.05%
Kelly -10.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.79%68.45%68.39%73.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.341.351.4080.65%74.65%74.07%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Libertad Asuncion (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.53%8.68cote équitable
EV +38.31%
Avantage +3.19%
Kelly +3.48%
Croissance +1.33%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.09%11.42%11.47%13.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.758.1512.0015.38%11.43%12.27%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.10%4.98cote équitable
EV +6.51%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.32%20.12%20.14%22.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.674.705.3026.67%21.43%21.28%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +38.31%E +3.19%K +3.48%G +1.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.56%EV -13.16%E -10.36%K -48.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +32.55%E +2.83%K +3.10%G +1.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.22%EV -15.21%E -12.27%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +26.79%E +2.44%K +2.68%G +0.718% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -1.53%E -0.312%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +3.74%E +0.415%K +0.467%G +0.017% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.22%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.06%EV +0.278%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.72%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -2.03%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.18%E -0.379%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.93%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -4.33%E -0.522%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.59%E -3.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.79%E -0.974%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.08%EV -8.71%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -1.93%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.40%EV -13.55%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%EV -24.64%E -6.57%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.49%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -14.13%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.92%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -16.43%E -2.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -17.01%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.32%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.58%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.45%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -21.62%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.59%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -6.32%E -4.62%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -22.20%E -3.29%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.25%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -25.08%E -3.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |