Language:English
Rosario Central v Independiente del Valle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 62.52%1.60fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.72%62.32%62.64%63.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.491.5670.42%67.30%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Visit)
Prediction 13.42%7.45fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.176%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 7.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.61%13.45%13.39%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.766.757.5417.39%14.79%14.81%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.675%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.23%23.98%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.804.0729.41%26.07%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 62.52%; Independiente del Valle (Visit): 13.42%; Draw: 24.06%. For Independiente del Valle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.69%EV +1.15%E +0.153%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.52%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +0.617%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.47%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.39%EV -2.07%E -0.509%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.32%EV -3.00%E -0.416%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.74%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -3.41%E -0.473%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -4.75%E -0.669%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -5.42%E -0.769%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.27%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -7.43%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 21:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.77%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -11.46%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.79%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -18.19%E -5.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.15%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.39%EV -11.22%E -7.90%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.06%EV -16.82%E -2.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.23%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -20.85%E -3.53%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.76% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |