A Escola das Odds

Rosario Central v Independiente del Valle

Início: 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Previsão 62.52%1.60odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -4.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.72%62.32%62.64%63.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.491.491.5670.42%67.30%67.11%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente del Valle (Visitante)

Previsão 13.42%7.45odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.176%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.61%13.45%13.39%15.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.756.766.757.5417.39%14.79%14.81%13.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.06%4.16odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -0.675%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.30%24.23%23.98%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.843.804.0729.41%26.07%26.32%24.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.54I 13.26%NM 12.69%EV +1.15%E +0.153%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:50
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.52%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +0.617%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 21:44
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:54
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 21:54
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.47%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.39%EV -2.07%E -0.509%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 21:54
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.32%EV -3.00%E -0.416%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:35
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.74%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -3.41%E -0.473%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 21:48
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -4.75%E -0.669%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:54
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -5.42%E -0.769%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:50
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 21:55
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.27%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 21:40
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -7.43%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 21:41
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 21:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 21:45
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 21:44
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.77%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -11.46%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 21:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.79%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -18.19%E -5.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-09 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.15%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.39%EV -11.22%E -7.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.06%EV -16.82%E -2.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-09 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.23%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -20.85%E -3.53%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-09 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.76%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-09 21:55