L’École des cotes

Rosario Central v Independiente del Valle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 62.52%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.72%62.32%62.64%63.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.491.5670.42%67.30%67.11%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente del Valle (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.42%7.45cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.176%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 7.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.61%13.45%13.39%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.766.757.5417.39%14.79%14.81%13.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.509%
Kelly -0.675%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%24.23%23.98%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.843.804.0729.41%26.07%26.32%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.54I 13.26%NM 12.69%EV +1.15%E +0.153%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:50
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.52%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +0.617%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 21:44
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:54
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 21:54
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.47%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.39%EV -2.07%E -0.509%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 21:54
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.32%EV -3.00%E -0.416%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:35
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.74%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -3.41%E -0.473%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 21:48
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -4.75%E -0.669%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 21:54
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -5.42%E -0.769%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 21:50
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 21:55
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.27%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 21:40
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -7.43%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 21:41
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 21:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 21:45
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 21:44
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.77%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -11.46%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 21:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 21:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.79%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -18.19%E -5.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-09 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.15%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.39%EV -11.22%E -7.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.06%EV -16.82%E -2.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-09 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.23%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -20.85%E -3.53%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-09 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.76%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-09 21:55