La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rosario Central v Independiente del Valle
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 62.52%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.72%62.32%62.64%63.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.491.5670.42%67.30%67.11%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente del Valle (Visitante)
Predicción 13.42%7.45momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.176%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.61%13.45%13.39%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.766.757.5417.39%14.79%14.81%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -0.675%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.30%24.23%23.98%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.843.804.0729.41%26.07%26.32%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.69%EV +1.15%E +0.153%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.52%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +0.617%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.724%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.47%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.39%EV -2.07%E -0.509%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -2.74%E -0.377%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.32%EV -3.00%E -0.416%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.74%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -3.41%E -0.473%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -4.75%E -0.669%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -5.42%E -0.769%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.37%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.09%E -1.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -4.96%E -3.27%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.26%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.09%E -0.870%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -7.43%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 21:41 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.72%E -5.97%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.44%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.77%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -11.46%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.76%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.79%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -12.80%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -18.19%E -5.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.15%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.39%EV -11.22%E -7.90%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.06%EV -16.82%E -2.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.23%EV -9.97%E -6.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -20.85%E -3.53%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -22.86%E -3.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.76% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |