Language:English
Platense v Independiente Santa Fe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 50.18%1.99fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%50.22%50.19%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9558.14%54.01%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Santa Fe (Visit)
Prediction 20.70%4.83fair odd
EV -0.620%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.66%20.58%20.76%22.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.454.404.8026.32%22.49%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.12%3.43fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.61%29.20%29.05%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.203.3035.71%31.69%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 50.18%; Independiente Santa Fe (Visit): 20.70%; Draw: 29.12%. For Independiente Santa Fe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.620%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.58%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.16%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.82%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.89%EV -10.18%E -5.69%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.61%E -3.46%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 11:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.58%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -17.18%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.88%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.13%EV -21.32%E -5.61%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |