La scuola delle quote

Platense v Independiente Santa Fe

Inizio: 2026-04-29 22:00 UTC

Finale: Platense 2–1 Independiente Santa Fe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Platense (Casa)

Previsione 50.18%1.99quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.28%50.22%50.19%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.851.851.9558.14%54.01%54.05%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Santa Fe (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.70%4.83quota equa
EV -0.620%
Vantaggio -0.129%
Kelly -0.163%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%20.58%20.76%22.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.454.404.8026.32%22.49%22.73%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.12%3.43quota equa
EV -3.92%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.61%29.20%29.05%31.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.163.203.3035.71%31.69%31.25%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 17:44
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.63%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 17:44
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 19:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:44
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.41%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.58%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -1.03%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.16%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.02%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.620%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:04
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.82%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:10
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:45
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:44
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.89%EV -10.18%E -5.69%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.61%E -3.46%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:08
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.58%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -17.18%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.88%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.13%EV -21.32%E -5.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-23 11:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 49.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%13.8%2026-04-23 11:10